Bitcoin believers back to watching stocks after crypto crash

After a gut-wrenching bout of turbulence and existential angst, digital-asset investors are back to focusing on the mood of the U.S. stock market as a gauge of whether the worst might be over.

Stocks are mostly up over the last few weeks and so is Bitcoin, which has added 15% over the past month. The 90-day correlation coefficient of Bitcoin and the S&P 500, after weakening slightly in June, now stands around 0.65 once again, among the highest such readings in Bloomberg data going back to 2010. A coefficient of 1 means the assets are moving in lockstep, while minus-1 would show they’re moving in opposite directions.

Cryptocurrencies are poised for outperformance “if equities have bottomed,” said Mike McGlone, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. “There are few more powerful forces in markets than when the stock market drops at high velocity as in the first half. Cryptos are part of that ebbing tide.”

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